Well, for the third week in a row we posted a winning week. The ‘Little Engine That Could’ – aka Youngstown St. – couldn’t get up the hill last week vs. Michigan State. But Maryland and Louisville took care of us as we roll into Week 4. While there are not many marquee Top 25 matchups this week, there are several lines that are jumping off the page at us.
Last Week: 2-1
Year to Date: 7-3 (70.0%)
Arkansas St. at Memphis – This might be the best line we have seen thus far this season. If the Red Wolves have proved one thing this year, it’s that they can roll up some yards and points in explosive fashion. Their run-pass balance has been impressive thus far, and they have a huge advantage at the skill positions vs. the Tigers. Memphis is a bad team that has proven to be penalty plagued and turnover prone in losses to Duke and Middle Tennessee so far. They rank 117th in points per game…not good. Looks like a mismatch. Arkansas St. -4.
Arizona St. at Stanford – Ranked #5 in the country, Stanford has been flying under the radar so far with pedestrian wins over San Jose St. (by 21) and Army (by 14). We get the feeling that in their lackluster outing against Army, they were looking ahead to this matchup with the Sun Devils. ASU is coming off an emotional, wild 32-30 win against Wisconsin – a game that ended with one of the strangest plays we have ever seen. Our gut tells us ASU will be down this week coming off that emotional win, and going on the road to face a team that has been laying for this game. We’ll take the Tree. Stanford -6.5.
Utah St. at USC – Until last week against a slow Boston College team, Lane Kiffin and the USC offense was anemic, scoring just three offensive TDs vs. Hawaii and Washington St. Despite that, the Trojan defense has been off the charts good all three weeks – currently 4th nationally in total defense. Utah State has played some good offensive teams thus far (Air Force at Utah) and have held their own, and look good enough on defense (13th nationally in total defense) to keep this a low scoring affair. USU’s Chuckie Keeton is a magician, but hasn’t seen anything like this Trojan defense this year. USC/Utah St. Under 52.
Who are you playing this week?