Good week last week…not great. We were painfully close to a perfect 3-0, but OU could not hold their 10-point cushion late in the fourth quarter and surrendered a TD with 2 minutes to play, giving TCU a backdoor cover of the 8 1/2. Miami and Baylor took care of business as expected.
There are about a dozen games that piqued our interest this week, but here’s our top four plays as we look to make a move at the half way point.
Last Week: 2-1 Year to Date: 13-7 (65.0%)
Texas A&M at Ole Miss – The Rebels finally get a home game after being on the road for the last three. A&M has some fresh legs, coming off a bye. Surprisingly, the Ole Miss offense has been sputtering, getting shutout at Bama and scoring only 2TDs vs. a suspect Auburn defense. Tackling in space hurt the Rebels last week – not good if you’re facing Johnny Football and gang. With back-to-back games against A&M and LSU, the young Ole Miss freshman may have trouble regaining their early season momentum. Texas A&M -5.5.
Missouri at Georgia – If there ever was a situational spot to pounce, this might be it. The Bulldogs are coming off two of the most emotional SEC wins we have seen in the last few years vs. LSU and Tennessee. They are due for a big (double) letdown. Add injuries to star running backs Todd Gurley (ankle) and Keith Marshall (knee out for the year) and you have the ingredients for an upset. Missouri rolled the Commodores 51-28 last week, but are surely the worst 5-0 team in the country. We will hold our nose and play Pinkel and the Tigers. Missouri +8.
Alabama at Kentucky – Like the Hogs last year, Kentucky knows in the back of their mind that they have no chance vs. the defending National Champs. Against a similar defense (Florida) two weeks ago, the Wildcats couldn’t muster an offensive score, posting their TD on a fake field goal in the 24-7 loss. After the A&M win, the Tide has only allowed 9 points in the last three games. Smells like a shutout, and we think Bama scores in the high 30s. Alabama -26.5.
Akron at Northern Illinois – The Huskies have been on a tear, averaging 42.2 PPG and making their way into the Top 25 for the first time this year. Led by head coach Terry ‘Tater Tot’ Bowden, Akron has lost 29 straight road games and have been outscored 74-17 in losses to middle-of-the-pack MAC foes Bowling Green and Ohio the last two weeks. NIU has been great at rushing the passer. Their 17 sacks ranks 7th in the FBS. Zips QB Kyle Pohl was sacked 8 times last week vs. Ohio. Yikes!!! Complete mismatch. Northern Illinois -22.5.