August 18, 2018

Hold All Tickets: Week 10 Digging Out

Digging OutNice run for us as we strung together our second straight winning week. We are still trying to dig our way out of an early season hole, but feel like we are seeing things clearly at the moment (62% over the last two weeks).  Good card this week.

In our friendly, season long competition with Arkansas Fight, we inched ahead as Graham took another step backwards last week. You can see Graham’s Week 10 picks here.

RazorBloggers Logo Arkansas Fight
Last Week 5-3 2-5-1
Year to Date 22-28-2   44.0% 34-48-4   41.5%

Here we go.

Kentucky at Missouri – The Wildcats impressed us last week with their scrappy play versus the #1 team in the country. QB Patrick Towles (466 TotYds, 4TDs) was unstoppable as he went toe-to-to with Dak Prescott.  UK currently has 5 wins with a remaining schedule after this week of Georgia, at Tennessee, at Louisville.  If they want to be bowl eligible, this is the week.  We think they’ll play well against a Mizzou team that made Vandy look competitive last week.  Kentucky +8.

Oklahoma State at Kansas State – We have been riding the K-State bandwagon for the last couple of weeks, and we see no reason to get off of it now. The Wildcats have covered the last 5 games, and need to stay hot with TCU on deck.  The young Cowboys and QB Daxx Garman have struggled mightly the last two weeks.  Garman has completed only 47% of his passes (1TD vs. 4INTs) as OSU has only put up 19 points the last two games.  A much needed bye week is next for OSU.  Wildcats roll at home, at night.  Kansas State -11.

North Carolina at Miami, Fla. – After some embarrassing performances early in the season, the Tar Heels have rebounded to play Notre Dame tight and then win two straight over Georgia Tech and Virginia. Miami is fresh off taking Virginia Tech to the woodshed 30-6.  UNC can really score (37.4 PPG), and we think the Hurricanes are a little overvalued here after thrashing the pathetic Hokies.  If Carolina scores 30+, it will be difficult for Miami to cover the inflated number.  North Carolina +15.

Air Force at Army – The Commander-in-Chief trophy is on the line as Air Force looks to sweep both Army and Navy. The Falcons topped a very good Navy team 30-21 a few weeks ago, and also beat Boise State by two touchdowns.  Army has really struggled to stop anybody of late, losing to lowly Kent State (39-17) and to Ivy League member Yale (49-43).  The win by Yale was the first by an Ivy League member over a FBS team since 1986.  Air Force, with the better passing QB and defense, should take care of business.  Air Force -2.5.

Georgia vs. Florida – No Todd Gurley, no problem. Frosh RB sensation Nick Chubb has subbed well for Gurley (68 carries, 345 RuYds, 3TDs last 2 games), and the Bulldogs have not missed a beat.  The Georgia loss to South Carolina is definitely the outlier performance…and we don’t expect a let down this week versus Florida after a bye.  The Gators are in freefall after a 42-13 loss to Mizzou.  Horrible QB play by Jeff Driskel has sealed HC Will Muschamp’s fate.  Changing QBs won’t matter.  We think this could get ugly in a hurry.  Georgia -10.5.

Arizona at UCLA – After two narrow escapes on the road at Cal (36-34) and Colorado (40-37 2OT), the Bruins return home to face high-flying frosh QB Anu Solomon and the Wildcats. The public has been enamored with UCLA all year, but they sit at 1-7 against the spread so far.  UCLA’s defense is 89th nationally in points allowed (30.3 PPG), while Rich Rod and Arizona are 13th nationally in scoring offense (40.6 PPG).  We like Arizona for the straight up win, but will take the points just for good measure.  Arizona +7.

Stanford at Oregon – After a slow start, the Ducks have been rolling the last three weeks averaging 48.7 PPG. Stanford’s defense has been great, but they will be missing all conference free safety Zach Hoffpauir who is injured.  With a win, the Ducks will likely climb into the Top 4 CFP rankings next week, so the carrot is there.  Stanford has lost both of their road games this year against ranked teams (Notre Dame, Arizona State).  Ducks to cover.  Oregon -8.

Who you got this week?