December 12, 2018

Hold All Tickets: Week 6 Riding the Wave

Money_Wave

After a tough stretch, we bounced back last week and made a little meal money. A late TD by Ole Miss gave us an unfortunate push with Memphis, while Virginia, Louisiana Tech and Nevada all posted comfortable margins.  Need to stay on the board and keep riding the wave this week.

In our friendly competition with Arkansas Fight, Graham posted a break-even week. Our main regret to our slow start is the inability to talk some trash.  Need to string together a few more winning weeks before we can get that going.  😉  You can see Graham’s Week 6 picks here.

RazorBloggers Logo Arkansas Fight
Last Week 3-2-1 5-5-1
Year to Date 9-15-2 37.5% 22-28-2 44.0%

Here we go.

Alabama at Ole Miss – Had this game circled for a couple of weeks now. Ole Miss thinks they are good, going 4-0 in the early going.  Their best win is over Boise State in Week 1, but this isn’t the same Boise team that has challenged the big boys in years past as evidenced by their 28-14 loss to Air Force last week.  Bama on the other hand seems to be finding their groove on offense.  The Tide outgained Florida two weeks ago 645-200.  Rebel QB Bo Wallace has 6 Ints in 4 games, and Saban has had two weeks to prepare.  The Black Bears’ bubble bursts this week.  Alabama -4.5.

Arizona State at USC – Arizona State is coming off a 62-27 trip to the woodshed last week against UCLA. The Sun Devil defense has been shredded all season ranking 94th nationally in yards per game (442.5 YPG).  Backup QB Mike Bercovici has been ok, but turned the ball over three times last week subbing for injured Taylor Kelly.  On the flip side, USC QB Cody Kessler has been sizzling to start, posting a 72% completion percentage, 10TDs and ZERO interceptions.  We like Kessler and USC to run it up on the weak ASU defense and cover the number.  USC -11.

Kansas at West Virginia – Well you won’t have Fat Charlie to kick around anymore. The Jayhawks sent Weis packing after a 23-0 loss to Texas last weekend.  We know what coaching turmoil can do to a team first hand, and with all that swirling, the Jayhawks have to go play a football game against a West Virginia team fresh off a bye.  We expect this to get away from KU fast as WVU ranks 11th nationally in total offense (551.5 YPG) and Kansas can’t score at all – ranking 121st in the nation in scoring offense (15.3 PPG).  Mountaineers big.  West Virginia -26.

Georgia State at Louisiana-Layfayette – We’ve had our eye on Georgia State for a few weeks now as the Panthers play their first year as a full member of the FBS (Sun Belt). GSU has held up well so far, losing to Air Force by only 10 and leading Washington 14-0 at the half two weeks ago.  They can throw it (331.5 YPG, 14th nationally) and are averaging 30+ points per game so far.  GSU should be able to hang in there versus ULL who has struggled to a 1-3 start.  Both teams coming off a bye.  Georgia State +17.

Baylor at Texas – Ok, this smells like cheese, but we’re going to take the bait anyway. Baylor has all their bullets back after starting WRs Antwan Goodley (1,339 RecYds, 13TDs in 2013) returned last week and Levi Norwood (733 RecYds, 8TDs in 2013) returns this week from injury.  QB Bryce Petty has been slowed by a back injury, but has played through it, and sat out the 4th quarter last week vs. Iowa State.  We think the Texas D could keep this one close for a while, but we just can’t see the Longhorn offense – who put up a paltry 23 points against Kansas last week – keeping up.  Baylor -14.5.

Texas Tech at Kansas State – We became a believer in the Wildcats after watching them go toe-to-toe with Auburn a few weeks back. KSU is giving up a salty 2.69 yards per carry (10th nationally), and that’s after facing Aubie.  One common opponent for these two…TTU beat UTEP by 4, KSU beat UTEP last week by 30.  Texas Tech continues to be the most penalized (105.5 YPG, 125th nationally), undisiplined, poorly coached team in America.  And Bill Snyder will take advantage.  Kansas State -12.5.

LSU at Auburn – If you have watched LSU, you know that the Tigers have struggled to stop the run so far this year. LSU gave up 268 RuYds to Wisconsin and 302 RuYds to Mississippi State.  That is music to Gus Malzahn’s ears.  LSU has some talented freshman on offense, but this is their first road game.  The Jordan-Hare crowd should be primed.  Auburn -7.

Who you got this week?