October 17, 2018

Hold All Tickets: Week 7 Leave Emotion at the Door

Brad PittWith a ton of crazy finishes, and 9 of the top 18 teams losing last week, we felt pretty fortunate to post our second straight winning week. Ridiculous come from behind wins and covers littered the landscape.  Emotional wins and losses from Week 6 will definitely factor into our Week 7 card.

In our friendly competition with Arkansas Fight, Graham took it on the chin last week going 3-7. In doing so, somehow we have the slimmest of leads going into Week 7 after a very lackluster start.  We won’t feel like we have completely righted the ship though until we climb back over the 50% mark and start to make a little $$$.  You can see AF Week 7 picks here.

  RazorBloggers Logo Arkansas Fight
Last Week 4-3 3-7
Year to Date 13-18-2   41.9% 25-35-2   41.7%

Here we go.

Ole Miss at Texas A&M – Wow…what a week it has been for Ole Miss. The emotion the Rebels expended in the 23-17 win over Alabama last week was epic.  The celebration that ensued will be talked about for decades in Oxford.  Now ranked #3, Ole Miss visits Texas A&M who finally returns home after a tough three week stretch on the road.  The Aggies should find stopping the Ole Miss rushing attack much easier than trying to slow the Hogs or Mississippi State.  And on offense, we don’t think the A&M receivers will drop another 9 passes this week.  We know the Rebel defense is a dominate unit, but a letdown this week is inevitable, and the 105,000+ Aggie fans, in a late night kickoff, should do the rest.  Texas A&M -1.5.

Auburn at Mississippi State – Like Ole Miss, the Bulldogs had a win for the ages themselves last week. Their 48-31 win over A&M was their largest victory over a Top 10 team in their history.  The Aggies were physically beat down after facing the Hogs the week before.  With the College Game Day boys in Starkville for the first time ever, it may be hard for MSU to get that high two weeks in a row.  Auburn, who completely crushed LSU 41-7 last week, is on a roll and looks unstoppable.  Auburn -2.5.

TCU at Baylor – TCU posted an emotional 37-33 win over Oklahoma last week (see the theme here…). After going 6-12 in Big 12 games over the last two seasons, the Horned Frogs finally broke through and delt the Sooners their first loss of the season.  Baylor meanwhile was handing Texas a 28-7 loss as the Bears capitalized on three Longhorn turnovers.  Baylor has been a much better team at home during this wild three year run, and with TCU coming back down to earth, we think the Bears and QB Bryce Petty can pull away late.  Baylor -7.5.

Central Michigan at Northern Illinois – NIU has really struggled over the last two and a half games, culminating in a narrow 17-14 win last week over pitiful Kent State. Central Michigan on the other hand is starting to surge after getting stud RB Thomas Rawls and WR Titus Davis back from injury.  Rawls rolled up 229 RuYds last week vs. Ohio, while Davis caught 10 passes for 181 RecYds and 2TDs.  We think this is a good spot for the Chippewas.  This is not the same NIU team that has dominated the MAC over the last four years.  Former QB Jordan Lynch ain’t walking through that door.  Central Michigan +9.

Louisville at Clemson – The Tigers have been on fire since inserting true freshman QB Deshaun Watson as the starter a few weeks ago. All Watson has done this year is complete 69 percent of his passes and thrown for 12TDs versus only one interception.  Had he played in the season opening loss against Georgia, Clemson might be 5-0 instead of 3-2 (losses to Georgia, Fla State in OT).  On the other hand, Louisville has struggled mightly at QB with Will Gardner and Reggie Bonnafon being largely ineffective.  Petrino is dying a slow death on the sideline watching these two.  Gardner is back from injury and is likely to play this week.  Tigers too much for Cardinals at home.  Clemson -9.5

Florida State at Syracuse – Troubling times in Syracuse. Last week the Orange lost their QB Terrel Hunt for 6 weeks with a broken leg.  This week HC Scott Shafer demoted his offensive coordinator George McDonald and replaced him with QB coach Tim Lester.  So it’s a perfect time to host the #1 team in the country…right?  FSU beat the Orange 59-3 last year, and has found their groove on offense the last two weeks scoring a total of 99 points in wins over NC State and Wake Forest.  Even with Notre Dame on deck, we think the Seminoles win this one comfortably given the turmoil at SU.  Florida State -23.5.

Who are you on this week?