October 17, 2018

Hold All Tickets: Week 8 Half Way Home

Las Vegas SportsbookOur strategy last week to fade three teams after emotional victories blew up in our face as Ole Miss, Mississippi State and TCU managed to dig deep and find a way to let us down. No team can stay sky high like the Rebels and Bulldogs have been the last few weeks, but when will the letdown come?  All in all, last week was the best week this season for the books as most of the underdogs covered in the high profile games.

In our friendly competition with Arkansas Fight, with Graham out of country, Doc Harper took over and resurrected his ‘Saturday Roulette’ picks, and posted a winning week. At the half-way point, we’ve got some work to do.  You can see the AF Week 8 picks here.

RazorBloggers Logo Arkansas Fight
Last Week 1-5 5-3
Year to Date 14-23-2  37.8% 30-38-2  44.1%

Here we go.

Michigan State at Indiana – Bad news for the Hoosiers last week as starting QB Nate Sudfield was lost for the season. His backup is an ‘A.J. Derby-type’ named Chris Covington who started the season as a linebacker.  Covington finished the Iowa game last week, going 3-for-12 for 31 yards and 2INTs.  Sudfield’s absence will allow teams like Michigan State (ranked #5 nationally in rush defense) to gang up even more and shut down a very good Hoosier rushing attack (302 RuYds/game).  We’ll take Sparty.  Michigan State -15.

Georgia at Arkansas – It’s gonna happen soon…it’s just a matter of when. Why not this week?  Georgia hits the road for the second straight week after dismantling Mizzou 34-0 last week.  The Bulldogs have a bye next, and they are 3-7 against the spread (ATS) in their last 10 games before a bye.  Todd Gurley is practicing this week, but we don’t expect him to play, allowing freshman RB Nick Chubb (143 RuYds, TD last week) to carry the load.  Can the Little Rock crowd rise to the occasion?  We think they will.  Arkansas +4.

Rutgers at Ohio State – The Buckeye offense and QB J.T. Barrett (1,354 PaYds, 17TDs) have really started to put it together, scoring 66, 50 and 52 the last three weeks. Rutgers is 5-1, but their best win is probably over Michigan a few weeks ago 26-24.  Urban Meyer is 12-3-1 ATS in his last 16 games coming off a bye.  We think OSU covers this number by half, especially if Rutgers QB Gary ‘tur’-Nova (7 INTs this year) lends a helping hand.  Ohio State -19.

Ball State at Central Michigan – We’re on the Chippewas bandwagon for the second week in a row as Vegas and the public adjust. CMU has been surging the last couple of weeks after getting stud RB Thomas Rawls and WR Titus Davis back from injury.  Ball State has lost 5 straight, but hung in there against similar teams.  We’re riding the Chips though until further notice.  Central Michigan -7.5.

Kansas State at Oklahoma – the Fighting Bill Snyder’s are fresh off a bye this week as they visit Norman. The Sooners return home after two emotional games versus TCU and Texas.  The Wildcats offense has really been clicking the last two games as they have put up 103 points, while the Sooner D has given up yardage totals of 513, 469 and 482 in the last three games.  K-State is 20-10 ATS in the last 30 as road dogs.  Good spot, so we’ll take the Wildcats to keep this one close in a 11:00 early morning kickoff.  Kansas State +8.

Who you got this week?