December 12, 2018

Hold All Tickets: Week 12 Weathering the Storm

Razorback Stadium Snow (Photo Courtesy HogDatabase)Last week was just one of those weeks.  We couldn’t even pick winners much less against the spread with favorites Auburn and Michigan State losing outright.  This week, look for the weather to be a big factor as we try to ‘weather the storm’ ourselves.

In our friendly, season long competition with Arkansas Fight, Graham has put together back-to-back winning weeks, and has retaken the lead.  You can see Graham’s Week 12 picks here.

RazorBloggers Logo Arkansas Fight
Last Week 1-4-1 6-2
Year to Date 26-36-3   42.0% 45-54-4   45.4%

Here we go.

LSU at Arkansas – This is a game we had circled at the beginning of the season, but we never dreamed we’d have to be giving points to the Tigers.  The whole world, including Las Vegas, thinks the Hogs are going to take this one.  The Razorbacks are fresh off a bye, while LSU left everything on the field last week in their 20-13 overtime loss to Alabama.  Weather forecast: kickoff temperature of 27 and a chance for snow flurries during the game.  Not good for two offenses who have struggled at times to put up points.  Two separate bets: Arkansas -1 and Arkansas/LSU Under 48.5.

Temple at Penn State – We’ve had a good look at Penn State the last two weeks and we can never remember seeing a team that was so good on one side of the ball, and so embarrassingly weak on the other side.  The Nittany Lions on defense are just tremendous, ranking 6th nationally in points allowed (16.6 PPG) and 1st nationally in rushing defense (85.6 YPG).  Watching their offense though will just make you physically sick.  Negative plays, poor offensive line play and a rushing attack that ranks 122nd in the country (86.6 YPG) has frustrated new HC James Franklin all season.  Temple might not get to double digits in this one, and PSU not many more than that.  Penn State/Temple Under 39.5.

South Carolina at Florida – The Ol’ Ball Coach returns home to Gainesville to face the Gators this week.  We expect Spurrier to pull out all the stops and whip it around the yard this week as the Gamecocks have nothing to lose.  South Carolina is 6-0 against the spread in their last six as an underdog of 6+ points.  We’ll take the points.  South Carolina +7.5.

Kentucky at Tennessee – Don’t look now but the Volunteers have found themselves a quarterback.  Freshman Joshua Dobbs rolled for 300+ passing and 100+ rushing last game in the Vols 45-42 OT win over South Carolina.  With a win this week, UT can almost be assured of bowl eligibility with Vanderbilt still left on the schedule.  Lots to play for and we think they roll Big Blue.  Tennessee -9.

Missouri at Texas A&M – Welcome back Aggies…where have you been for the last month?  After dropping three straight and looking lackluster in a narrow win over ULM, A&M and new frosh QB Kyle Allen looked impressive in dropping the #3 Auburn Tigers 41-38 last week.  Allen threw for 277 yards and 4TDs.  Mizzou has an excellent pass rush, but don’t think they can get to Allen who got the ball out quick against Aubie.  Texas A&M -3.5.

Florida State at Miami, Fla. – With this line, Vegas is screaming, “I dare you to take Florida State”.  So just for fun, we’ll bite and take the bait.  The Seminoles should be smarting a bit after dropping from #2 to #3 in last weeks’ CFP rankings, and we think they’ll come out with something to prove.  Say what you want about the arrogance and immaturity of Jameis Winston, but when the chips are down, he can light it up and carry his team.  The Hurricanes are good, but haven’t been on this stage in awhile.  Florida State -2.

Auburn at Georgia – Two excellent offenses face two suspect defenses in this one.  Georgia gets All-American RB Todd Gurley back after he sat out the last 4.  The Tigers rank 7th nationally in rushing yard per game (286.4 YPG).  Meanwhile, Georgia has given up over 600 yards rushing in their last two games and Auburn has given up an average of 486 TotYds and 36.7 points per game over the last 4 games.  Aubie DC Ellis Johnson better be dusting off his resume.  Smells like a high scoring affair.  Two separate bets: Georgia -2 and Georgia/Auburn Over 68.

Who you got this week?